But the currency effect does not rank highly among them. Futures contracts guarantee a company a certain exchange rate in, say, three or six months. In the meantime, a depreciation of the pound raises the cost of imports, pushing up the inflation rate.
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Messenger There is an old nutritipn about voolatility markets: In the early days, following the referendum announcement on February 20, many assumed that the remain camp would win out. Options voluje give the company, in return for an upfront premium, the right to buy or sell a currency at a particular exchange rate in the future. Unsurprisingly, many large firms have been assessing the risk they face from such large potential movements in order to manage their currency exposure. As the June 23 referendum approaches, traders have been speculating both on the direction of movement of the British pound against currencies such as the dollar, euro and yen, and also on the amount of volatility that is likely to occur in each of these currency pairs on an hourly, daily, weekly and even monthly basis.
Sterling implied volatilityusing monthly data.
Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. Common Stock (HLF) Quote & Summary Data
Eventually, however, there will be a period of tranquillity until another major event hits the currency markets. But the opinion polls now indicate a much greater chance of Brexit. This uncertainty is being reflected in increased foreign exchange market volatility, especially for the pound.